WILL WE SEE BIG BEN BEFORE WEEK 10?

Before I get started on Ben Roethlisberger, I want to give a quick disclaimer. I have received some interesting feedback recently on my recommendations. Be sure to understand that I am not just giving you rhetoric to make me sound smart on these injuries; my goal is to give sharp and specific information that can literally help you win money. With this approach, I may be wrong here and there, as I do not give wide range explanations that allow me to be right no matter what the outcome is. In many cases I trap myself in a position in which I am either right or I am wrong. Sharp bettors and fantasy players can appreciate this as this type of approach has much more value than a long dissertation of facts and intelligent rhetoric that that never really gives a specific answer. For those who are not good managers of risk, for when these expert recommendations miss by a bit; you are not likely playing the fantasy game correctly. I tend to lean-to the DFS side of things, and I know that the information that I have provided has won money this season, because I am winning it. So in short, if you can’t handle not getting a “sure thing” explanation, you can stop reading now. For those who want to get real expert opinion that is capped with a specific answer that is much more likely to be right rather than wrong, I am your man.

Sorry for the rant; let’s get back to Big Ben Roethlisberger.

Roethlisberger has been diagnosed with a meniscus tear to his knee and is scheduled to have surgery on Monday. As I outlined with the Adrian Peterson case, a meniscus injury can be tricky as the outer part has good blood supply while the inner part does not. This plays a big role when it comes to healing, as areas that are rich in blood supply heal faster, while those with little or no blood supply heal slower.

Based on the reports that describe the procedure that Roethlisberger will undergo on Monday to be a “clean-up”, we can assume the injury to be the blood rich outer part of the meniscus which should be good news for Ben Roethlisberger and Pittsburgh Steelers fans.

This will be an arthroscopic surgery which is literally one of the most commonly performed surgical procedures and Roethlisberger should be able to transition quickly to Physical Therapy. Physical Therapy will initially focus on reducing the swelling and pain in his knee and once these issues are stabilized, Roehtlisberger should transition to therapeutic exercises focused on stabilizing his knee before finally returning to football activity.

On the short end, Roethlisberger could be ready by week eight, but being that this will be the Pittsburgh Steelers bye-week, the earliest we should expect is week nine return versus the Baltimore Ravens. I would expect Roethlisberger to return by then, but at the very latest we should see him in week ten.

As with any other injury, or anything in life, this is not a “sure thing”; however it is a “more likely than not” thing. Orthopedic surgeons do hundreds of thousands of these procedures per year, and Physical Therapist like myself rehabilitate hundreds of thousands of these conditions per year. The text-book answer will support a two to four-week return as I have mentioned, but in real life I know that some recover even quicker and some take longer. We will have to listen out for how surgery goes and look for signs of how Ben Roethlisberger is moving around during the bye week. Don’t be surprised to see Roethlisberger walking with an assistive device in the week leading up to the New England Patriots, but if you are still catching glimpses of a hobbled Ben Roethlisberger as week nine approaches, that would be a sign that something is not right. 

I will update as needed on Twitter @DrPettyIRD, but otherwise hold tight to Roethlisberger if he is your fantasy quarterback for season long, and DFS players should take advantage of the doubters in week nine or ten, as when he returns he should be at full strength.

Good Luck!

Week 6-Doubtful, Questionable, and Probable (DQP) Players

October 11, 2014

Here is how we see this weeks big injuries playing out.  No need to list the players who are ruled out as we already know they won’t play.  Let’s take a look at the DQP players, so you can hit the waiver wire or your bench for a winning line up.

Doubtful

optimus and megatron
Down goes Megatron!

Calvin Johnson (You should plan to be without him for 2-3 weeks….even if he suits up!)

 Megatron is the only player of significance on this list and frankly I am tired of talking about him.  So, I won’t.   If you follow me, then you saw Johnson going down before he actually did; and if you continue to follow me, I will let you know when he will return as a productive part of your fantasy team.  Until then, just sit tight.  Bonus: For those who go a little beyond fantasy players, the Detroit Lions very well may not win a game until he returns.

Questionable

A.J. Green (Trade him)

Im not sure why Green is even listed as questionable.  I know the designations for injuries can sometimes be chess in the NFL, but I think we are all pretty confident he doesn’t play.  If he plays, I think that A.J. Green and the rest of the Bengals organization should all be on the injury list for concussion like symptoms. In case you missed it, go to http://theinjuryreportdoctor.com/2014/10/10/trade-a-j-green-today/ to check out why you should trade A.J. Green now.

Carson Palmer (NO!)

If you are desperate for a QB on a bye week, I could see how this could be on your radar.  I don’t plan to see Palmer play well any time soon, if ever.  You will have to look elsewhere to fill in your QB stats.

Joe Haden (Start who ever you can on the Steelers offense)

joe haden and antonio brown
This would have been a nice matchup for week 6 but Im sure Antonio Brown won’t miss Joe Haden when he gets to the end zone on Sunday.

Now because we are mostly focused on fantasy, you may not see many defensive players make our stories.  Since defenders do not typically contribute individually to fantasy scoring (unless your name is J. J. Watt), we usually stick to offense.  However in the case of Cleveland Browns cornerback Joe Haden, there are a few notable implications.  First and foremost, his absence makes the Browns defense “unstartable” ( I know that is not a word).  Furthermore, I think it makes Antonio Brown a bigger stud than he already is; as well as making Big Ben, Heath Miller and just about the whole offense of the Steelers have increased value this week.  Also, Ive heard a lot of predictions that the Brown will win this game and while I don’t care enough to make a pick on this game; I believe that Haden being out may change some tunes.  The Browns are quiet on the exact injury to his hip, but a broken fingernail against Antonio Brown would be too much.  I either expect him to not play or not play well.  You can do a lot with this information with the fantasy players and the game itself, but the best value is likely in Big Ben and Antonio Brown against a talented but not ready rookie cornerback in Justin Gilbert.

Vernon Davis (You may have to carry 2 Tight Ends for a while)

Davis is listed with a back injury that he suffered 2 weeks ago when he played with an ankle injury that was barely healed.  The good news is Davis has practiced 3 days in a row.  In my opinion the bad news is that all of these practices have been non contact.  The quotes that Davis has given locally and the nature of his injuries tell me that he will either not play or not play well.  My guess is that one good hit to his back or a hard fall sends him back into spasms and even without being hit, I doubt he can perform like the Vernon Davis we know.  Because TE is such a tough position to get production from, I think I would still hold on to him.  In this very unique case, carrying a second tight end until Davis can get another healthy chance is probably the best move.  I expect Davis to still have a couple of big days in him this year once he has time to heal.  I think the wisest move for the Niners would be to rest him until week 9 (after their bye) and finish the year strong.

Probable

All of the notable Probable players are not worth your time or mine, as they will all play.  That includes Julio Jones, Dez Bryant, Percy Harvin and others.  I expect all of the notable players on the Probable listing to play like their healthy, as none of the injuries appear to be serious.

Good Luck!